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Gallup International’s 41 Annual Global End of Year Survey:PUTIN LEADS GLOBALLY OVER TRUMP AS A CHOICE FOR COUNTRY LEADER, NEW CONSTELLATIONS OF NATIONS ARE EMERGING

 

logo The World’s first (launched in 1977) and leading Global Public Opinion Barometer, covering this year in a representative way about 2/3 of the global population, done in partnership with WIN, shows:

Choosing between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump over one quarter (29%) of the respondents globally declare to prefer as head of state of their own country the Russian leader. Donald Trump is preferred as country leader by 17%.

There are nine countries among the 55 surveyed that give preference to Donald Trump as possible leader, among them leading are Kosovo, Albania, Philippines and the United States itself. Vladimir Putin won approval as potential country leader in 25 countries, Germany, France and Ireland are in that list as well along with those traditionally loyal to him. 20 countries reject both potential candidates for the position of their country leaders, this opinion is expressed by 45% of all surveyed respondents globally.  

Vladimir Putin is generally preferred in most of the regions except the USA. Even overall critical Europeans choosing between him and the present American President give preference to the Russian leader. In Africa, India and East Asia the two opponents score almost equal support. The survey results disclose that the American President is no longer perceived as absolute world leader.

Thinking of global political leadership, should USA keep the leading role as arguably the most powerful state in the world? Or USA and Russia should exercise global leadership together? Every forth in the world (25%) votes for parity joint leadership, while USA supreme and sole leadership is preferred by 19%.

 

Majorities in almost all of world macro-regions declare to prefer a joint leadership of USA and Russia, except USA itself where 40% of respondents believe their country should continue as global leader alone.

The two options of global leadership split the public opinion in almost equal proportions in West Asia - in Republic of Korea, in Japan, in Hong Kong, in Philippines, in Thailand and in Vietnam.

Generally, the dominant position of USA as world global leader no longer seems to look unquestionable.

 

Kancho Stoychev, President Gallup International Association (GIA):

 

«Just one year after Donald Trump entered the White House the world of international relations is no longer the same. While increasing the US economic and military strength President Trump is failing to attract sympathy around the world and the US global political leadership is no longer accepted among a predominant part of the world’s inhabitants.

From bi-polar world during the Cold War through US dominated world after 1989 now the World seems to be transforming to a more colorful place. Different constellations of nations (or “constenations”) are emerging in front of our eyes as an expression of new regionalization of the World – not on geographical principles but on a shared view for the future.»

 

Andrey Milekhin, Vice President Gallup International Association (GIA):

 

«The choice between these two Presidents is not an easy one and at the end the candidate “against both” won. The complexity of the choice was defined by the fact that behind Trump stands the USA economic and military power, Putin on the other hand has 25 years of political experience being one of the most long-lived and sustainable among the world political leaders.

The respondents also made a choice between the values represented by the two: stability and patriarchal spirit represented by Putin on the one side and Trump’s modern business-approach and supremacy of national interests in defining the world politics, on the other side.

To the majority of world’s population, the conservatism and reliability of Putin seems to be more appealing. No doubts that these attitudes are also affected by spread by mass-media vendetta against Trump’s total personality and actions.

We could say that 25 years of USA dominance didn’t result in global peace and harmony, on the contrary, gave rise to some new problems and conflicts.

Multipolarity of the World is already quite clear and obvious. In several regions there are strong leaders that distinctly claim to form the world’s overall agenda. And this is not only Russia, but China, India, Brazil and Turkey as well. With new leaders, new political ideas and coalitions we see attempts of restauration of France’s and Germany’s world influence.

It is interesting to see that in Russia a potential joint global leadership exercised along with USA is supported by less than half of the population (40%).»

 

 

DONALD TRUMP VS. VLADIMIR PUTIN AS A COUNTRY LEADER

If you had to choose between President’s Trump and Putin to govern your country, which one would you chose – Trump or Putin?

 

Majority Reject Both

Trump & Putin

Putin Leading over Trump

by more than 5%

Trump Leading over Putin

by more than 5%

Country

%

Country

%

Country

%

Netherlands

77

Russia

+80

Kosovo

+40

France

73

Kazakhstan, Armenia

+67

Albania

+37

Germany, Spain

71

Serbia

+50

Philippines

+35

Iraq

66

Greece

+47

USA

+33

Czech Republic

65

Mexico

+46

Ghana

+19

Italy, Latvia, Sweden

64

Moldova

+45

Nigeria

+16

Ireland, Japan, Poland

61

Ethiopia

+44

Republic of Korea

+13

India, Slovenia

60

Iran

+41

Czech Republic

+13

Pakistan

59

Turkey, B&H

+38

UK

+6

Republic of Korea

58

Croatia

+29

 

UK

57

Indonesia

+28

 

Bangladesh

56

Peru, Slovenia, Columbia

+21

 

Romania

55

Bulgaria

+20

 

USA, Hong Kong

54

Austria

+19

 

 

Croatia, Ukraine

53

Argentina

+17

 

Ecuador

52

Germany, Latvia

+15

 

Afghanistan

51

Hong Kong

+14

 

South Africa

50

Italy

+12

 

 

 

Macedonia

+11

 

 

 

Romania

+10

 

Afghanistan

+9

 

Brazil, France

+9

 

Vietnam

+7

 

Ireland

+5

 

 

 

 

 

 

DONALD TRUMP VS. VLADIMIR PUTIN AS A COUNTRY LEADER – BY REGION

If you had to choose between President’s Trump and Putin to govern your country, which one would you chose – Trump or Putin?

 

Q1

*Rounding of Decimals: There may be a slight difference of 1 in some instances. Exact figures are available elsewhere. There is also a slight possibility that the figures vary up to maximum of 1 in different versions of press releases.

 

DONALD TRUMP VS. VLADIMIR PUTIN AS A COUNTRY LEADER – BY COUNTRY

If you had to choose between President’s Trump and Putin to govern your country, which one would you chose – Trump or Putin?

 

Country

Trump

Putin

Neither

one

AFGHANISTAN

18%

27%

51%

ALBANIA

58%

21%

20%

ARGENTINA

13%

30%

43%

ARMENIA

4%

71%

23%

AUSTRIA

7%

26%

63%

AZERBAIJAN

6%

5%

46%

BANGLADESH

16%

19%

56%

BOSNIA&HERZEGOVINA

12%

50%

36%

BRAZIL

25%

34%

31%

BULGARIA

6%

26%

42%

COLOMBIA

14%

35%

49%

CROATIA

7%

36%

54%

CZECH REPUBLIC

22%

9%

65%

ECUADOR

14%

18%

52%

ETHIOPIA

11%

55%

19%

FRANCE

6%

15%

73%

GERMANY

7%

22%

71%

GHANA

41%

22%

25%

GREECE

12%

59%

27%

HONG KONG

13%

27%

54%

INDIA

12%

13%

60%

INDONESIA

10%

38%

44%

IRAN

6%

47%

43%

IRAQ

13%

18%

66%

IRELAND

16%

21%

61%

ITALY

9%

21%

64%

IVORY COAST

29%

34%

25%

 

Country

Trump

Putin

Neither

one

JAPAN

10%

7%

61%

KAZAKHSTAN

2%

69%

25%

KOSOVO

41%

1%

45%

LATVIA

8%

23%

64%

MACEDONIA

18%

29%

46%

MEXICO

7%

53%

0

MOLDOVA

14%

59%

25%

NETHERLANDS

10%

8%

77%

NIGERIA

39%

23%

29%

PAKISTAN

13%

16%

59%

PERU

11%

32%

38%

PHILIPPINES

50%

15%

27%

POLAND

32%

2%

61%

REPUBLIC OF KOREA

26%

13%

58%

ROMANIA

17%

27%

55%

RUSSIA

1%

81%

13%

SERBIA

6%

56%

33%

SLOVENIA

9%

30%

60%

SOUTH AFRICA

22%

22%

50%

SPAIN

12%

14%

71%

SWEDEN

15%

16%

64%

THAILAND

21%

22%

35%

TURKEY

12%

50%

35%

UK

23%

17%

57%

UKRAINE

22%

23%

53%

USA

37%

4%

54%

VIETNAM

37%

44%

12%

 

 

 

*Rounding of Decimals: There may be a slight difference of 1 in some instances. Exact figures are available elsewhere. There is also a slight possibility that the figures vary up to maximum of 1 in different versions of press releases.

**Row%, “DK” Answer is not presented in the table.

 

 

GLOBAL LEADERSHIP PERSPECTIVE

There is a discussion about which form of world order is a better one. Below are two options – which one do you prefer:

ü  As arguably the most powerful state in the world, the US to continue to lead globally

or

ü  The US and Russia should exercise global leadership together


 Q2 pie

 

 

TOP 10 “USA TO LEAD GLOBALLY”

TOP 10 “USA&RUSSIA TOGETHER”

Country

%

“USA”

Country

% “Together”

KOSOVO

57%

GREECE

59%

ALBANIA

56%

MOLDOVA

48%

USA

40%

ETHIOPIA

47%

MEXICO

38%

KAZAKHSTAN, VIETNAM

46%

NIGERIA

35%

BRAZIL, RUSSIA

42%

PHILIPPINES

33%

ARMENIA, INDIA

39%

GHANA, HONG KONG, REP. KOREA

30%

B&H, MEXICO

37%

COLOMBIA, PAKISTAN

28%

BULGARIA

35%

VIETNAM

27%

PERU

33%

AFGHANISTAN

26%

ALBANIA

32%

 

*Rounding of Decimals: There may be a slight difference of 1 in some instances. Exact figures are available elsewhere. There is also a slight possibility that the figures vary up to maximum of 1 in different versions of press releases.

 


 

GLOBAL LEADERSHIP PERSPECTIVE – BY REGION

 

There is a discussion about which form of world order is a better one. Below are two options – which one do you prefer:

ü  As arguably the most powerful state in the world, the US to continue to lead globally

Or

The US and Russia should exercise global leadership together


Q2 chart

 

 

 

*Rounding of Decimals: There may be a slight difference of 1 in some instances. Exact figures are available elsewhere. There is also a slight possibility that the figures vary up to maximum of 1 in different versions of press releases.

 

  

GLOBAL LEADERSHIP PERSPECTIVE – BY COUNTRY

There is a discussion about which form of world order is a better one. Below are two options – which one do you prefer:

As arguably the most powerful state in the world, the US to continue to lead globally

or The US and Russia should exercise global leadership together

 

Country

USA

USA & Russia

Neither

one

AFGHANISTAN

26%

30%

40%

ALBANIA

56%

32%

11%

ARGENTINA

8%

17%

54%

ARMENIA

4%

39%

44%

AUSTRIA

5%

18%

68%

AZERBAIJAN

7%

6%

44%

BANGLADESH

12%

24%

52%

BOSNIA&HERZEGOVINA

25%

37%

33%

BRAZIL

24%

42%

17%

BULGARIA

6%

35%

37%

CROATIA

6%

21%

65%

COLOMBIA

28%

31%

37%

CZECH REPUBLIC

16%

17%

57%

ECUADOR

24%

19%

42%

ETHIOPIA

20%

47%

14%

FRANCE

5%

6%

75%

GERMANY

8%

12%

76%

GHANA

30%

19%

23%

GREECE

10%

59%

28%

HONG KONG

30%

11%

49%

INDIA

12%

39%

27%

INDONESIA

14%

12%

61%

IRAN

7%

10%

78%

IRAQ

15%

24%

59%

IRELAND

13%

20%

56%

ITALY

10%

28%

56%

IVORY COAST

13%

30%

34%

 

Country

USA

USA & Russia

Neither

one

JAPAN

21%

10%

32%

KAZAKHSTAN

4%

46%

31%

KOSOVO

57%

4%

21%

LATVIA

11%

17%

62%

MACEDONIA

22%

26%

44%

MEXICO

38%

37%

6%

MOLDOVA

13%

48%

31%

NETHERLANDS

13%

13%

59%

NIGERIA

35%

22%

28%

PAKISTAN

28%

21%

42%

PERU

18%

33%

27%

PHILIPPINES

33%

25%

36%

POLAND

21%

12%

52%

REPUBLIC OF KOREA

30%

23%

41%

ROMANIA

25%

22%

48%

RUSSIA

1%

42%

39%

SERBIA

12%

23%

57%

SLOVENIA

7%

23%

62%

SOUTH AFRICA

19%

25%

42%

SPAIN

15%

12%

63%

SWEDEN

11%

13%

67%

THAILAND

16%

26%

27%

TURKEY

16%

19%

61%

UK

18%

21%

50%

UKRAINE

15%

20%

53%

USA

40%

16%

27%

VIETNAM

27%

46%

18%

 

 

*Rounding of Decimals: There may be a slight difference of 1 in some instances. Exact figures are available elsewhere. There is also a slight possibility that the figures vary up to maximum of 1 in different versions of press releases.

**Row%, “DK” Answer is not presented in the table.

 

Methodology:

The Gallup International End of Year Survey (EoY) is an annual tradition initiated by and designed under the chairmanship of Dr. George Gallup in 1977. It is conducted every year since then. This year it was carried out by the Gallup International Association in partnership with WIN in 55 countries around the world. 


Regions coverage:

▪ EU Total - combines EU West and EU East

▪ EU West – Austria, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland. Italy, Netherland, Spain, Sweden, UK

▪ EU East – Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Latvia, Poland, Romania, Slovenia, Croatia

▪ Non-EU Europe – Albania, Armenia, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Kosovo, Macedonia, Moldova, Serbia, Ukraine

▪ Latin America – Argentina, Brazil, Columbia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru 

▪ East Asia – Bangladesh, Fiji, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Republic of Korea, Thailand, Vietnam

▪ West Asia – Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Pakistan, Turkey

▪ Middle East - Iraq

▪ Africa – Ethiopia, Ghana, Nigeria, South Africa

▪ USA, India and Russia are not included in any other regional category

 

Sample Size and Mode of Field Work:

A total of 53769 persons were interviewed globally. In each country a representative sample of around 1000 men and women was interviewed either face to face (23 countries; n=24235), via telephone (13 countries; n=11656) or online (19 countries; n=17878). The field work was conducted during November 2017 - December 2017. The margin of error for the survey is between +3-5% at 95% confidence level.”

 

About Gallup International

Gallup International Association (GIA) is the leading association in market research and polling and this year celebrates its 70th anniversary.

For 70 years Gallup International Members have demonstrated their expert ability to conduct multi-country surveys on a comparable basis and deliver the highest quality. Their Members are leading national institutes with a profound local knowledge of research methods and techniques, statistical sources, customs and culture differences of its own country and carefully selected by the Association Board. With only one Member agency per country, Members work together on a daily basis to share knowledge, new research techniques and tools, as well as to provide the most appropriate solutions to international research projects and service our clients to the best of our abilities.

 

For more information:

Kancho Stoychev (in Sofia),     +359 88 8611025

Andrei Milekhin (in Moscow), +7 495 9886081

Johnny Heald (in London),       +44 7973 600308

For further details see website: www.gallup-international.com


Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C. which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll).